I see by the news that American politicians and the leader of Israel are dying to attack Iran. The US, it has been said, could sink their navy, destroy their air force and deliver a decisive blow to the hated Revolutionary Guard. I recall that we did not do so well in Vietnam even though they had no navy or air force. Ditto in Afghanistan. Iran, no doubt, will be called a “cake walk” since they have no real navy and little air support.
Just this once maybe we should think all this over before ignorantly jumping into yet another quagmire. The United States just cannot defeat Iran militarily unless we are willing to destroy the country with nuclear weapons and become the most hated nation in the history of the world; perhaps even unseating Adolf Hitler as the king of evil. We can not even beat Afghanistan where for over a decade our very expensive military hasn’t managed to defeat a bunch of peasant mountain men with AKs and RPGs: and Iran is a much larger foe than Afghanistan ever was.
Iran could block the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for any attack. That would stop enough of the world’s oil flow to cripple much of the West’s economies. $500 a barrel for oil? Let us hope it is not even higher. How many supertankers sunk would it take to deter everyone from even trying it? Iran has plenty of anti-ship cruise missiles and they know what they are for. They can fire them from anywhere; they can transport them with small pick-up trucks. Our Air Force may claim that it can destroy all of Iran’s missiles but they have been consistently wrong since WWII. Note that cruise missiles have ranges in the hundreds of miles and in the Persian Gulf all our ships will be sitting ducks. A cruise missile can be mounted on a truck, a fast launch, or a small boat. One of the Chinese ballistic missile has a range of 1200 miles! Iran can inflict great damage to our navy with relatively cheap weapons.
Will Israel attack Iran? It has threatened repeatedly to do just that. The effects of an Israeli attack would be the same as an American attack and America will be right in the middle of it all. There is no scenario where America comes out a winner with an attack of Iran.